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War Gaming What A U.S.-NATO Withdrawal From Afghanistan May Look Like

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War Gaming What A U.S.-NATO Withdrawal From Afghanistan May Look Like

US Marines salute during a ceremony in the Afghan province of Helmand, in April 2017

Lawrence Sellin, Daily Caller: War Gaming A U.S. Withdrawal From Afghanistan

Ironically, Pakistan’s opposition to U.S. and NATO efforts to stabilize Afghanistan through its support of the Taliban and Haqqani insurgents would lead to greater regional instability and, perhaps, create an existential threat to Pakistan itself should Western forces withdraw.

In the absence of U.S. and NATO assistance, the Afghan government would fall within twelve months and Afghanistan would revert to conditions similar to those of the 1990s civil war when the country was divided along ethnic and, to some extent, religious lines.

The predominantly Pashtun Taliban would attempt to reestablish its pre-9/11 government in Afghanistan, but again would be opposed by Tajiks, Uzbeks, Shia Hazaras and, likely, the more secular Baloch, whose population spans both Afghanistan and Pakistan along the southern border.

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WNU Editor: A withdrawal will result in two big losers .... those who want a stable Afghanistan, and Pakistan. Who will benefit .... U.S. and NATO for the simple reason that they are no longer responsible for this mess.

Update: It appears that hope is still the U.S. strategy in Afghanistan .... Trump wins support for Afghan strategy in volatile Helmand (AFP).


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